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Anscombe’s Quartet.

Plot four datasets and omit individual observations to inspect the structure behind a regression.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
INTERACTIVE EXPERIMENT / M15

Anscombe’s Quartet

Plot four datasets and omit individual observations to inspect the structure behind a regression.

TEST THE MECHANISM
05101505101520x: 0 → 20; y: 0 → 15
Included observations
11
Mean x / mean y
9.00 / 7.50
OLS slope
0.500
Correlation
0.816

Anscombe’s four published datasets have closely matched summaries but visibly different structures. Omitting a point changes the dataset; undefined slope is reported when the remaining x values are identical. This is a diagnostic demonstration, not a rule to discard inconvenient observations.

Coordinates are rounded original values. A descriptive fit does not establish a causal or predictive model, and some omissions make a slope undefined.

THE SHORT VERSION

Anscombe’s Quartet, explained.

Anscombe’s quartet comprises four datasets with nearly identical summary statistics but markedly different graphical structures.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

The original rounded coordinates are plotted with least-squares slope and correlation. Removing a point recomputes both. In the fourth dataset, removing the sole non-eight x value makes slope and correlation undefined.

Anscombe’s quartet comprises four datasets with nearly identical summary statistics but markedly different graphical structures.

Read the result

Plot shape and point influence matter even when rounded slopes and correlations look nearly identical.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

Four regressions with matching summaries

  1. Switch among the four original rounded datasets and compare their least-squares summaries.

  2. Inspect curvature, an unusual response and the leverage point rather than relying on a correlation alone.

  3. In dataset four omit the largest-x point; all remaining x values equal eight, making slope and correlation undefined.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

The original rounded coordinates are plotted with least-squares slope and correlation. Removing a point recomputes both. In the fourth dataset, removing the sole non-eight x value makes slope and correlation undefined.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

Inspect raw plots, outliers and model shape before treating a regression summary as a sufficient description.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“The same correlation means the same relationship.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

A summary can conceal nonlinearity, leverage and outliers. Similar correlation coefficients do not establish interchangeable data structures.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Coordinates are rounded original values. A descriptive fit does not establish a causal or predictive model, and some omissions make a slope undefined.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why does removing a point sometimes remove the slope entirely?

Least-squares slope divides by variation in x. With no variation in x, the denominator is zero and a finite slope is unidentified.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

What would you plot before trusting the next numerical summary you receive?

Associated thinkers

Associated withFrancis Anscombe ↗

Associations marked provisional are awaiting source review.

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.