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Dollar-Cost Averaging.

Buy equal token amounts through a rise, fall, or recovery and compare timing.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
Preparing the experiment…
THE SHORT VERSION

Dollar-Cost Averaging, explained.

Dollar-cost averaging invests a fixed monetary amount at regular intervals. Lower prices buy more units and higher prices buy fewer, changing the average cost per unit.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

A staged purchase leaves part of an existing cash pot uninvested until later. This can help on a falling path and reduce participation on a rising path. Investing new income as it arrives is a different cash-availability problem.

Dollar-cost averaging invests a fixed monetary amount at regular intervals, purchasing more units at lower prices and fewer at higher prices.

Read the result

Advance six equal purchases and read both fractional shares and remaining cash. Compare rising, falling, and recovery scenarios. Staged wealth includes uninvested cash, so neither strategy gets an artificial advantage from ignoring part of its starting resources.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

Two equal purchases at different prices

  1. A staged buyer invests 100 tokens at a price of twenty and receives five shares.

  2. Another 100 at a price of ten buys ten more shares, giving fifteen shares for 200 tokens.

  3. Average cost is 200/15, about 13.33, not the arithmetic average price of fifteen. Whether this beats an available lump sum still depends on the complete path.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Six periods each invest 100 tokens. Fractional units are allowed. The lump-sum comparison invests 600 at the first price. Both are valued at each displayed price, including uninvested staged cash, which earns zero. Rising, falling, and recovery paths are selectable.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

The staged strategy can buy more shares during a fall, yet delayed exposure can trail lump-sum investing during a rise.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“Regular purchases always beat a lump sum.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

Staging helps on some paths and trails on others. Price evolution, cash availability, cash interest, transaction costs, and risk preferences all affect a comparison.

What this explanation leaves out

  • These paths are invented and selected after the fact. Staging an existing cash pot differs from investing income as it arrives. No dominance claim, costs, taxes, or cash interest are assumed.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why does the recovery path end with more staged shares?

Equal amounts buy more shares at its temporarily lower prices. The invented recovery later values those extra shares more highly, but that recovery was not guaranteed in advance.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Are you choosing how to invest money already available, or how to invest income that has not yet arrived?

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.