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Efficient Frontier.

Mix two assets, alter correlation and find the minimum-variance portfolio.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
INTERACTIVE EXPERIMENT / M20

Efficient Frontier

Mix two assets, alter correlation and find the minimum-variance portfolio.

TEST THE MECHANISM

Two hypothetical assets have expected returns 5% and 9%, with standard deviations 10% and 20%. Choose the second asset’s weight and assumed correlation.

0%100%
-11
57901020Expected return (%)Standard deviation (%) →
Expected portfolio return
6.20%
Portfolio standard deviation
10.09%
Minimum-variance B weight
14.29%
Within this two-asset set
On the efficient branch

These moments are supplied assumptions, not estimated forecasts. No shorting is allowed. Mean–variance efficiency omits tail risk, taxes, fees, changing correlations and preferences; it is not a recommendation to hold the displayed allocation.

Expected returns and covariance are supplied assumptions. Mean–variance efficiency omits tails, costs and estimation error and is not allocation advice.

THE SHORT VERSION

Efficient Frontier, explained.

The mean–variance efficient frontier contains portfolios with the highest expected return for a given variance within a specified feasible set.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

Two assumed assets have means 5% and 9% and standard deviations 10% and 20%. Nonnegative weights sum to one. Covariance changes with correlation, bending the portfolio risk–return curve and its minimum-variance point.

The mean–variance efficient frontier contains portfolios with the highest expected return for a given variance within a specified feasible set.

Read the result

The upper branch is efficient only within the two assumed assets and the stated no-shorting constraint.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

Mix two hypothetical return streams

  1. Set correlation to zero and vary the weight of the higher-return, higher-volatility second asset.

  2. Reveal the minimum-variance point and compare lower-return points that take more risk than it does.

  3. Change correlation to inspect how diversification opportunities depend on an uncertain input, not just on asset count.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Two assumed assets have means 5% and 9% and standard deviations 10% and 20%. Nonnegative weights sum to one. Covariance changes with correlation, bending the portfolio risk–return curve and its minimum-variance point.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

Separate the mathematical benefit of diversification from the uncertainty involved in estimating returns, risks and correlations.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“An efficient portfolio is guaranteed safe or profitable.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

Efficiency describes a tradeoff between supplied mean and variance within a feasible set; it does not guarantee realised returns or capture every form of risk.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Expected returns and covariance are supplied assumptions. Mean–variance efficiency omits tails, costs and estimation error and is not allocation advice.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why can adding a riskier asset initially reduce portfolio volatility?

The covariance term can offset some individual variance when returns are not perfectly correlated. The exact reduction depends on weights and the supplied correlation.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Which estimated input would move your supposed frontier most if it were wrong?

Associated thinkers

Associated withHarry Markowitz ↗

Associations marked provisional are awaiting source review.

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.